NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Oct, 2026 6:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane TRUDY is currently located near 14.0 N 102.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 105 kts (121 mph). TRUDY is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. TRUDY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 66 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 42 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Manzanillo (19.2 N, 104.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 42 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 42 hours
    Playa Azul (18.0 N, 102.4 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 30 hours
    Tomatlan (19.9 N, 105.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 66 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 66 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).