TSR Storm Alert

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Oct, 2026 15:00 GMT

Hurricane VANCE is currently located near 12.9 N 103.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). VANCE is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. VANCE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).